Syria’s instability poses terrorism threat to Southeast Asia, warns Singapore’s security agency

Instability in Syria following former president Bashar al-Assad’s fall may have spillover effects on Southeast Asia and Singapore, the city-state’s Internal Security Department (ISD) said on Monday, December 23.

Syria's former President Bashar al-Assad (pictured) ruled for over 20 years before his regime was toppled in December 2024 by rebel forces. Photo courtesy: www.britannica.com
Syria’s former President Bashar al-Assad (pictured) ruled for over 20 years before his regime was toppled in December 2024 by rebel forces. Photo courtesy: www.britannica.com

Terrorist groups such as the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda are likely to “exploit the current power vacuum to rebuild and recruit”, Channel News Asia quoted ISD as saying.

These groups may capitalise on developments in the country for their propaganda narratives, framing the fall of the Assad regime as a victory for the violent jihadist cause, the ISD said.

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“Some may also issue calls for their supporters to join their ranks in Syria or to take inspiration from the victory by engaging in violence in their home countries,” the ISD said. “The security situation in Syria is fluid and bears watching,” it added, noting how the volatile environment could “increase the risk of extremism and terrorism”.

It cited how the civil war in Syria over a decade ago provided fertile ground for the formation of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and the Al-Qaeda-affiliated Al-Nusra Front.

Syria is currently under the control of rebel forces. Photo courtesy: Screengrab from X
Syria is currently under the control of rebel forces. Photo courtesy: Screengrab from X

Both groups have attracted hundreds of foreign fighters from Southeast Asian countries while their teachings have reportedly radicalised thousands of Muslims in Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines, inspiring some to launch deadly terrorist attacks in their respective countries, analysts previously noted.

The ISD has also detained radicalised Singaporeans in the past who intended to travel to Syria to engage in armed violence. The ISD warned it will take firm action against those who intend to engage in armed violence in Singapore or abroad.

“We will not hesitate to take firm action against any individual who supports, promotes, undertakes or makes preparations to engage in armed violence, be it in Singapore or overseas,” a spokesperson was quoted as saying.

Singapore’s top security agency was responding to a CNA query on whether terrorist groups could take advantage of the current situation in Syria to expand their reach, including in Southeast Asia and Singapore.

The situation in Syria

On December 8, rebels from the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) took control of the capital Damascus and other important Syrian cities. After midnight, news emerged that Assad had fled the country for Russia.

The fall of Assad marked the beginning of the end of Syria’s 13-year conflict which claimed over 580,000 lives and displaced 12 million others.

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HTS denies it still has links with any terror network, but many countries and the UN Security Council have continued to designate the group as a terrorist organisation.

Arrest, restriction orders in Singapore

In the wake of Assad’s ouster, CNA had analysts saying that the Southeast Asian authorities must be vigilant. However, some experts viewed the risk of a new wave of extremism in Southeast Asia as being relatively low currently.

ALSO READ: Singapore home minister Shanmugam clarifies ISA curbs on self-radicalised teen and woman who support terrorism

In October, a 17-year-old Singaporean student was arrested less than a month before his plan to carry out a terror attack in Singapore’s heartlands. The teen also intended to travel to Syria to join the Islamic State and engage in armed violence.

In July, Law and Home Affairs Minister K Shanmugam said two Singaporeans had been issued restriction orders for supporting terrorism and armed violence. They reportedly became radicalised after Hamas’ attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.

Singapore Law and Home Affairs Minister K Shanmugam
Singapore Law and Home Affairs Minister K Shanmugam addressing the media on the Internal Security Act restrictions put on two individuals. Photo courtesy: X/@MothershipSG

One was a 14-year-old boy — the youngest person ever in the country to be issued the restriction order under the Internal Security Act (ISA) — while the other was a 33-year-old woman who was a manager with a statutory board.

In February last year, the ISD said an 18-year-old Singaporean IS supporter was detained in December 2022 after he considered attacking targets, including an army camp and a gravesite at a mosque in Singapore.

The student had also intended to travel overseas, including to Syria, to participate in armed violence.

Two other teenagers who were online contacts of the student were also issued ISA orders for terrorism-related activities.

The ISD has urged the public to remain vigilant to signs that the people around them may have become radicalised and report them to the authorities.

Possible signs of radicalisation include posting or sharing extremist views on social media and expressing support or admiration for terrorists or terrorist groups, as well as the use of violence, it said.